寨卡病毒传播媒介-宿主和SEIR模型的比较

Puji Andayani, Rizal Dian Azmi, L. R. Sari
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引用次数: 1

摘要

已经分析了一些描述寨卡病毒传播的数学模型。在本研究中,我们构建了两种寨卡病毒传播模型。第一个是载体-宿主模型。它以人类种群为宿主,以蚊子种群为媒介。第二种模式是只有受感染的人群充当传播者,而人群中没有受感染的蚊子。采用新一代矩阵(NGM)方法分析了寨卡病毒的繁殖数量,研究了模型假设对寨卡病毒的影响。以前,我们通过解释每个模型的复制数来比较两个模型的动态。从生物学上讲,这两种模式会产生相似的效果。如果繁殖数小于1,则该疾病灭绝。否则,存在地方病。数值模拟还用于解释两种模式的比较。通过求解恢复周期和传输周期对两种情况进行比较。关键词:比较,数学模型,繁殖数,SEIR,寨卡病毒
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Comparing Vector-host and SEIR models for Zika Virus Transmission
Some mathematical models to describe Zika virus transmissions have been analyzed. In this study, we construct two models of Zika virus transmission. The first one is the vector-host model. It considers the human population as host and mosquito’s population as the vector. The second model is where there is only infected human population who act as transmitter without the existence of infected mosquitoes in the population. The impact of modeling assumption of Zika virus is studied by analyzed the reproduction number using Next Generation Matrix (NGM) method. Formerly, we compare the dynamics of the two models by interpreting the reproduction number of each model. Biologically, the two models cause a similar effect. If the reproduction number is less than one,  then the disease is extinct.  Otherwise, an endemic condition exists. The numerical simulation also used to explain the comparison of two models. The recovery and the transmission period are solved to compare these two cases. Keywords: comparison, mathematical model, reproduction number, SEIR, Zika Virus.
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