{"title":"表后太阳能是提高配水系统弹性的有效途径吗?","authors":"Jiayu Yao, Wenyan Wu, A. Simpson, B. Rismanchi","doi":"10.36334/modsim.2023.yao238","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":": A water distribution system (WDS) is a vital component of water infrastructure systems. The pump operation in pressurised WDSs usually consumes significant electricity. To reduce pumping-related cost and environmental impact, behind-the-meter solar photovoltaic (BTM solar PV) system is becoming an increasingly popular additional source of energy supply for WDSs. The integration of the BTM solar PV system to WDSs is complex, requiring the consideration of the interaction between the WDS and the solar PV system. Moreover, future changes in water demand and solar PV technology development in terms of unit cost and conversion efficiency further complicate the design of WDSs integrating BTM solar. This research aims to investigate the impact of long-term changes in water demand and solar PV technology development on the co-design of WDSs integrating BTM solar considering system performance in terms of the life cycle cost and grid energy consumption. In this study, future water demand is assumed to change between -30% to +100% in the next 60 years. Three solar PV technology development conditions are considered: the baseline condition (T const. ) with the current unit cost and conversion efficiency, the conventional technology (T conv. ) resulting in a moderate reduction in unit cost and increase in conversion efficiency, and the advanced technology (T adv. ) resulting in a larger reduction in unit cost and rapid increase in conversion efficiency. In total 15 scenarios considering the different changes in water demand and solar PV technology development have been developed to represent future uncertainty. The integrated system has been optimised under each scenario, and the performance of the design is evaluated across all scenarios. The performance distribution of 3 specific designs obtained under three scenarios with the demand change by +30% and the 3 different solar PV technology development conditions is illustrated in Fig.1: Design 1 from T const. , Design 2 from T conv. , and Design 3 from T adv. , respectively. Results show that the potential development in BTM solar technology, i.e., future improvements in the unit cost and conversion efficiency, has a limited impact on the sizing of the pipes and pumps of WDSs. However, the changes in water demand will have a significant impact on the optimal sizing of WDSs. The higher the demand growth, the larger the sizes of pipes and pumps are expected. It is evident from Figure 1 that for the same WDS, more advanced development in solar PV technology leads to more consistent performance (i.e., the narrowed range of values) in terms of cost. More importantly, it leads to much lower grid energy consumed, as well as more consistent energy performance across various water demand conditions. The integration of solar PV systems into WDSs helps to reduce the risk of oversizing WDSs by improving the energy performance of WDSs under changing water demand conditions. The results also highlight the opportunity of improving the future performance of potentially under-sized WDSs through the integration of the BTM solar PV system.","PeriodicalId":390064,"journal":{"name":"MODSIM2023, 25th International Congress on Modelling and Simulation.","volume":"23 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Is behind-the-meter solar an effective way to improve water distribution system resilience?\",\"authors\":\"Jiayu Yao, Wenyan Wu, A. Simpson, B. Rismanchi\",\"doi\":\"10.36334/modsim.2023.yao238\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\": A water distribution system (WDS) is a vital component of water infrastructure systems. The pump operation in pressurised WDSs usually consumes significant electricity. To reduce pumping-related cost and environmental impact, behind-the-meter solar photovoltaic (BTM solar PV) system is becoming an increasingly popular additional source of energy supply for WDSs. The integration of the BTM solar PV system to WDSs is complex, requiring the consideration of the interaction between the WDS and the solar PV system. Moreover, future changes in water demand and solar PV technology development in terms of unit cost and conversion efficiency further complicate the design of WDSs integrating BTM solar. This research aims to investigate the impact of long-term changes in water demand and solar PV technology development on the co-design of WDSs integrating BTM solar considering system performance in terms of the life cycle cost and grid energy consumption. In this study, future water demand is assumed to change between -30% to +100% in the next 60 years. Three solar PV technology development conditions are considered: the baseline condition (T const. ) with the current unit cost and conversion efficiency, the conventional technology (T conv. ) resulting in a moderate reduction in unit cost and increase in conversion efficiency, and the advanced technology (T adv. ) resulting in a larger reduction in unit cost and rapid increase in conversion efficiency. In total 15 scenarios considering the different changes in water demand and solar PV technology development have been developed to represent future uncertainty. The integrated system has been optimised under each scenario, and the performance of the design is evaluated across all scenarios. The performance distribution of 3 specific designs obtained under three scenarios with the demand change by +30% and the 3 different solar PV technology development conditions is illustrated in Fig.1: Design 1 from T const. , Design 2 from T conv. , and Design 3 from T adv. , respectively. Results show that the potential development in BTM solar technology, i.e., future improvements in the unit cost and conversion efficiency, has a limited impact on the sizing of the pipes and pumps of WDSs. However, the changes in water demand will have a significant impact on the optimal sizing of WDSs. The higher the demand growth, the larger the sizes of pipes and pumps are expected. It is evident from Figure 1 that for the same WDS, more advanced development in solar PV technology leads to more consistent performance (i.e., the narrowed range of values) in terms of cost. More importantly, it leads to much lower grid energy consumed, as well as more consistent energy performance across various water demand conditions. The integration of solar PV systems into WDSs helps to reduce the risk of oversizing WDSs by improving the energy performance of WDSs under changing water demand conditions. 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引用次数: 0
摘要
配水系统是水利基础设施系统的重要组成部分。在加压水泵站中,泵的运行通常会消耗大量的电力。为了减少抽水相关的成本和对环境的影响,太阳能光伏发电(BTM solar PV)系统正成为污水处理厂越来越受欢迎的额外能源供应来源。BTM太阳能光伏系统与WDS的集成比较复杂,需要考虑WDS与太阳能光伏系统之间的相互作用。此外,未来用水需求的变化和太阳能光伏技术在单位成本和转换效率方面的发展,进一步使集成BTM太阳能的WDSs的设计复杂化。本研究旨在探讨水资源需求的长期变化和太阳能光伏技术的发展对集成BTM太阳能的WDSs协同设计的影响,同时考虑系统在生命周期成本和电网能耗方面的性能。在这项研究中,未来60年的用水需求将在-30%到+100%之间变化。考虑三种太阳能光伏技术发展条件:基线条件(T常数)。在目前的单位成本和转换效率下,常规技术(T conv.)导致单位成本的适度降低和转换效率的提高,而先进技术(T adv.)导致单位成本的较大降低和转换效率的快速提高。考虑到水需求和太阳能光伏技术发展的不同变化,总共有15种情景,以代表未来的不确定性。集成系统在每个场景下都进行了优化,设计的性能在所有场景下都进行了评估。需求变化+30%、3种不同太阳能光伏技术发展条件下3种具体设计方案的性能分布如图1所示:设计1来自T const。,设计2来自T conv.,设计3来自T adv.。结果表明,BTM太阳能技术的潜在发展,即单位成本和转换效率的未来提高,对wds管道和泵的尺寸影响有限。然而,需水量的变化将对污水处理区的最佳规模产生重大影响。需求增长越高,预计管道和泵的尺寸就越大。从图1中可以明显看出,对于相同的WDS,太阳能光伏技术的发展越先进,在成本方面的性能越一致(即值的范围越窄)。更重要的是,它导致更低的电网能源消耗,以及在各种水需求条件下更一致的能源性能。将太阳能光伏系统集成到水处理系统中,通过改善水处理系统在不断变化的水需求条件下的能源性能,有助于减少水处理系统过大的风险。该结果还强调了通过集成BTM太阳能光伏系统来改善潜在的小型wds未来性能的机会。
Is behind-the-meter solar an effective way to improve water distribution system resilience?
: A water distribution system (WDS) is a vital component of water infrastructure systems. The pump operation in pressurised WDSs usually consumes significant electricity. To reduce pumping-related cost and environmental impact, behind-the-meter solar photovoltaic (BTM solar PV) system is becoming an increasingly popular additional source of energy supply for WDSs. The integration of the BTM solar PV system to WDSs is complex, requiring the consideration of the interaction between the WDS and the solar PV system. Moreover, future changes in water demand and solar PV technology development in terms of unit cost and conversion efficiency further complicate the design of WDSs integrating BTM solar. This research aims to investigate the impact of long-term changes in water demand and solar PV technology development on the co-design of WDSs integrating BTM solar considering system performance in terms of the life cycle cost and grid energy consumption. In this study, future water demand is assumed to change between -30% to +100% in the next 60 years. Three solar PV technology development conditions are considered: the baseline condition (T const. ) with the current unit cost and conversion efficiency, the conventional technology (T conv. ) resulting in a moderate reduction in unit cost and increase in conversion efficiency, and the advanced technology (T adv. ) resulting in a larger reduction in unit cost and rapid increase in conversion efficiency. In total 15 scenarios considering the different changes in water demand and solar PV technology development have been developed to represent future uncertainty. The integrated system has been optimised under each scenario, and the performance of the design is evaluated across all scenarios. The performance distribution of 3 specific designs obtained under three scenarios with the demand change by +30% and the 3 different solar PV technology development conditions is illustrated in Fig.1: Design 1 from T const. , Design 2 from T conv. , and Design 3 from T adv. , respectively. Results show that the potential development in BTM solar technology, i.e., future improvements in the unit cost and conversion efficiency, has a limited impact on the sizing of the pipes and pumps of WDSs. However, the changes in water demand will have a significant impact on the optimal sizing of WDSs. The higher the demand growth, the larger the sizes of pipes and pumps are expected. It is evident from Figure 1 that for the same WDS, more advanced development in solar PV technology leads to more consistent performance (i.e., the narrowed range of values) in terms of cost. More importantly, it leads to much lower grid energy consumed, as well as more consistent energy performance across various water demand conditions. The integration of solar PV systems into WDSs helps to reduce the risk of oversizing WDSs by improving the energy performance of WDSs under changing water demand conditions. The results also highlight the opportunity of improving the future performance of potentially under-sized WDSs through the integration of the BTM solar PV system.