基于深度学习算法的股票价格预测及其与机器学习算法的比较

Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Mahla Nikou, Gholamreza Mansourfar, Jamshid Bagherzadeh
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引用次数: 105

摘要

证券指数是评价金融市场状况的主要工具。此外,任何国家经济的一个主要部分都是由股票市场投资构成的。因此,如果有可能用适当的方法预测股票市场的未来趋势,投资者就可以获得最大的投资回报。金融序列的非线性和非平稳性使其预测变得复杂。本研究旨在评估机器学习模型在股票市场中的预测能力。本研究使用的数据包括iShares MSCI英国交易所交易基金2015年1月至2018年6月的每日收盘价数据。预测过程是通过四种机器学习算法模型完成的。结果表明,深度学习方法的预测效果优于其他方法,支持向量回归方法相对于神经网络和随机森林方法的预测误差较小。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stock price prediction using DEEP learning algorithm and its comparison with machine learning algorithms

Security indices are the main tools for evaluation of the status of financial markets. Moreover, a main part of the economy of any country is constituted of investment in stock markets. Therefore, investors could maximize the return of investment if it becomes possible to predict the future trend of stock market with appropriate methods. The nonlinearity and nonstationarity of financial series make their prediction complicated. This study seeks to evaluate the prediction power of machine-learning models in a stock market. The data used in this study include the daily close price data of iShares MSCI United Kingdom exchange-traded fund from January 2015 to June 2018. The prediction process is done through four models of machine-learning algorithms. The results indicate that the deep learning method is better in prediction than the other methods, and the support vector regression method is in the next rank with respect to neural network and random forest methods with less error.

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来源期刊
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management
Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
6.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: Intelligent Systems in Accounting, Finance and Management is a quarterly international journal which publishes original, high quality material dealing with all aspects of intelligent systems as they relate to the fields of accounting, economics, finance, marketing and management. In addition, the journal also is concerned with related emerging technologies, including big data, business intelligence, social media and other technologies. It encourages the development of novel technologies, and the embedding of new and existing technologies into applications of real, practical value. Therefore, implementation issues are of as much concern as development issues. The journal is designed to appeal to academics in the intelligent systems, emerging technologies and business fields, as well as to advanced practitioners who wish to improve the effectiveness, efficiency, or economy of their working practices. A special feature of the journal is the use of two groups of reviewers, those who specialize in intelligent systems work, and also those who specialize in applications areas. Reviewers are asked to address issues of originality and actual or potential impact on research, teaching, or practice in the accounting, finance, or management fields. Authors working on conceptual developments or on laboratory-based explorations of data sets therefore need to address the issue of potential impact at some level in submissions to the journal.
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