皮卡零件的销售预测:以制动橡胶为例

M. Kamranfard, K. Kiani
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文采用神经网络(NN)和回归模型两种不同的方法对伊朗Khodro公司生产的1600辆皮卡的制动橡胶进行了销售预测。进一步,我们开发了两种类型的神经网络,一种是通用网络,一种是月度网络。结果表明,当数据是非线性和混沌的,传统的模型,如回归不太可能是有用的。在这些情况下,我们可以使用非线性模型,比如神经网络。结果表明,一般网络不是预测制动橡胶销售的有效工具,而月度网络在预测制动橡胶销售方面是准确有用的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Sales forecast for pickup truck parts: A case study on brake rubber
In this paper we address sales forecasting of brake rubber for 1600 pickup truck manufactured by Iran Khodro Co. To this end, we use two different methods named Neural Network (NN) and regression model. Further, we develop two types of neural networks, one general network and a set of monthly networks. Results reveal that when data are nonlinear and chaotic, traditional models like regression are less likely to be useful. In these cases we can use nonlinear models like neural networks. It is shown that general network is not a useful tool for forecasting sales of brake rubber, whereas monthly networks are accurate and useful for this purpose.
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