{"title":"皮卡零件的销售预测:以制动橡胶为例","authors":"M. Kamranfard, K. Kiani","doi":"10.1109/ICCKE.2012.6395374","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we address sales forecasting of brake rubber for 1600 pickup truck manufactured by Iran Khodro Co. To this end, we use two different methods named Neural Network (NN) and regression model. Further, we develop two types of neural networks, one general network and a set of monthly networks. Results reveal that when data are nonlinear and chaotic, traditional models like regression are less likely to be useful. In these cases we can use nonlinear models like neural networks. It is shown that general network is not a useful tool for forecasting sales of brake rubber, whereas monthly networks are accurate and useful for this purpose.","PeriodicalId":154379,"journal":{"name":"2012 2nd International eConference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering (ICCKE)","volume":"93 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2012-12-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Sales forecast for pickup truck parts: A case study on brake rubber\",\"authors\":\"M. Kamranfard, K. Kiani\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICCKE.2012.6395374\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"In this paper we address sales forecasting of brake rubber for 1600 pickup truck manufactured by Iran Khodro Co. To this end, we use two different methods named Neural Network (NN) and regression model. Further, we develop two types of neural networks, one general network and a set of monthly networks. Results reveal that when data are nonlinear and chaotic, traditional models like regression are less likely to be useful. In these cases we can use nonlinear models like neural networks. It is shown that general network is not a useful tool for forecasting sales of brake rubber, whereas monthly networks are accurate and useful for this purpose.\",\"PeriodicalId\":154379,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2012 2nd International eConference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering (ICCKE)\",\"volume\":\"93 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2012-12-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2012 2nd International eConference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering (ICCKE)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICCKE.2012.6395374\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2012 2nd International eConference on Computer and Knowledge Engineering (ICCKE)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICCKE.2012.6395374","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Sales forecast for pickup truck parts: A case study on brake rubber
In this paper we address sales forecasting of brake rubber for 1600 pickup truck manufactured by Iran Khodro Co. To this end, we use two different methods named Neural Network (NN) and regression model. Further, we develop two types of neural networks, one general network and a set of monthly networks. Results reveal that when data are nonlinear and chaotic, traditional models like regression are less likely to be useful. In these cases we can use nonlinear models like neural networks. It is shown that general network is not a useful tool for forecasting sales of brake rubber, whereas monthly networks are accurate and useful for this purpose.