利用软计算技术预测股票交易

Zainab Al Rahamneh, Mohammad Reyalat, A. Sheta, S. Aljahdali
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引用次数: 10

摘要

为了在全球经济中保持竞争力,金融业越来越依赖于先进的计算机技术。模糊逻辑是一项令人兴奋的技术,具有广泛的应用前景。无论是在模糊逻辑计算领域,还是在金融领域,解释使用模糊逻辑来预测股票、汇率、商品和其他金融时间序列的价格未来变化的兴趣都在不断增长。模糊算法被广泛用于动态模型的识别,它结合了数值知识和启发式知识。模糊逻辑提供了一种非常简单的方法,从模糊、模棱两可或不精确的信息中得出明确的结论。本文主要研究模糊逻辑(FL)在金融时间序列预测中的应用。在一系列应用中的实验结果表明,模糊逻辑可以有效地解决这类问题。为了检验模糊逻辑应用于预测的有效性,与人工神经网络进行了比较。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting stock exchange using soft computing techniques
The financial industry is becoming more and more dependent on advanced computer technologies in order to maintain competitiveness in a global economy. Fuzzy logic represents an exciting technology with a wide scope for potential applications. There is a growing interest both in the field of fuzzy logic computing and in the financial world in explaining the use of fuzzy logic to forecast the future changes in prices of stocks, exchange rates, commodities, and other financial time series. Fuzzy algorithms are intensively used for the identification of dynamic models, combining both numerical and heuristic knowledge. Fuzzy logic provides a remarkably simple way to draw definite conclusions from vague, ambiguous or imprecise information. In this paper, we are investigating the ability of Fuzzy logic (FL) to tackle the financial time series forecasting problems. Experimental results on set of applications indicated that fuzzy logic can effectively solve these types of problems. In order to examine the effectiveness of fuzzy logic applied to forecasting, the comparison with Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) is performed.
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