基于社会技术系统认知决策模型的疏散仿真

K. Zia, A. Riener, A. Ferscha, A. Sharpanskykh
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引用次数: 13

摘要

在过去十年中,信息和通信系统从纯粹的系统层面向社会层面的转变已经可以观察到。然而,由于领域的概念差异,将社会/认知方面集成到所谓的社会计算中并不是一件容易的事情。社会技术系统(STS)是一个新近出现的术语,旨在区分以自然科学或信息技术为媒介的社会系统。即使社会/认知方面的中介在“理论上”受到技术的支配,“社会”和“技术”之间的差距也是历史性的和巨大的。此外,随着时间的推移,技术系统在与人的相互作用及其普及方面变得更加智能,应特别注意对社会和技术组成部分以及它们之间的相互作用进行建模。例如,在对公共设施的紧急情况进行建模(和模拟)时,不应排除环境(例如,情况感知出口标志、交互式显示器等)和个人(例如,手机、专用可穿戴设备等)层面上技术的可能可用性及其社会/认知影响。为了应对这一挑战,我们将从疏散情景中人类行为的心理学、神经学和社会理论中抽象出来的认知决策模型整合到基于CA的模拟中。让我们把注意力集中在一个场景中,在这个场景中,一小群代理人得到了技术协助,一些最有趣的发现是:(一)将具有代表性和真实的社会行为模型纳入社会技术系统建模,本质上产生了方法上的根本差异;(二)在疏散过程中,技术辅助的主体作为领导者出现,在其影响范围内改变了许多主体的意图;(三)即使在足够大的人口中,这样的领导者人数很少,也足以保证显著的差异;特别是提高可能未充分利用的出口的使用率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evacuation Simulation Based on Cognitive Decision Making Model in a Socio-Technical System
In the last decade the shift of information and communication systems from a purely system level to the social level is already observable. However, the integration of social / cognitive aspects into so-called social computing is not an easy task due to conceptual differences in domains. A Socio-Technical System (STS) is a recent term intending to differentiate between a social system mediated by natural sciences or information technology. Even if the mediation of social / cognitive aspects is "theoretically" governed by technology, the gap between "socio" and "technical" is historical and huge. Furthermore the fact that with every passing year, the technical systems become more intelligent with respect to interaction with people and their pervasiveness, a special attention should be given to modelling both social and technical components and interaction between them. For example while modelling (and simulating) an emergency situation from a public facility, the possible availability of technology at the environment (e.g. situation-aware exit signs, interactive displays, etc.) and personal (e.g. cell phones, specialized wearables etc.) level, along with its social / cognitive influence must not be overruled. To address this challenge, we have integrated cognitive decision making model abstracted from psychological, neurological and social theories of human behaviour during evacuation situations into CA based simulation. Keeping focus on a scenario in which a small population of agents is technologically assisted, some of the most interesting finding are: (i) the inclusion of a representative and authentic social behaviour model into modelling a socio-technical system essentially produces fundamental differences in methodologies, (ii) the technologically assisted agents emerge as leaders during evacuation changing the intentions of many agents within their influence (iii) even a small population of such leaders in sufficiently large population is enough to guarantee a remarkable difference, particularly improving usage of possibly under-utilized exits.
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