市场能分化和倍增吗?807%的错误定价案例

Martijn J. van den Assem, Dennie van Dolder, Remco C. J. Zwinkels, M. Schauten
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文记录了围绕大规模配股的一次价格法的严重违规行为。设计/方法/方法如果价格正确,股票价格和权利之间的关系遵循一个简单计算的结果。在2014年Royal Imtech N.V.的案例中,股价持续大幅偏离理论预测。在整个配股期限内,投资者购买股票的价格是他们应该得到的配股价格的许多倍。以高召回风险和缺乏股票借贷供应为形式的卖空约束,是套利未能作为市场效率保障的最可能解释。但值得注意的是,投资者在存在廉价、完美的替代品的情况下,以高企的价格大量买入股票。原创性/价值这次错误定价的特殊之处不仅在于其严重性,还在于与之前记录在案的案例不同,这次没有基本面风险,也没有实质性噪音交易者风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Can the Market Divide and Multiply? A Case of 807 Percent Mispricing
PurposeThis paper documents a strong violation of the law of one price surrounding a large rights issue.Design/methodology/approachIf prices are right, the relation between the prices of shares and rights follows the outcome of a simple calculation.FindingsIn the case of Royal Imtech N.V. in 2014, prices deviated sharply and persistently from the theoretical prediction. Throughout the term of the rights, investors were buying shares at prices that were many times what they should have been given the price of the rights. Short-selling constraints in the form of high recall risk and lacking stock lending supply are the most likely explanation for the failure of arbitrage as a safeguard of market efficiency. Still, it remains remarkable that investors were buying large volumes of shares at highly inflated prices in the presence of a cheap, perfect substitute.Originality/valueThe mispricing was special not just because of its severity but also because unlike previously documented cases there was no fundamental risk and no material noise trader risk.
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