{"title":"横截面检验因素模型","authors":"Fabian Hollstein, Marcel Prokopczuk","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3924777","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We confront prominent asset pricing models with the classical out-of-sample cross-sectional test of Fama and MacBeth (1973). For all models, we uncover three main findings: (i) the intercept coefficients are economically large and highly statistically significant; (ii) the cross-sectional factor risk premium estimates are far below the average factor excess returns; and (iii) they are generally not statistically significant. Thus, our findings show that the models do not only fail the equilibrium condition of the time-series test, but are also inconsistent with the weaker no-arbitrage condition. Overall, all new factor models cannot accurately explain the cross-section of stock returns.","PeriodicalId":306152,"journal":{"name":"Risk Management eJournal","volume":"46 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2021-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Testing Factor Models in the Cross-Section\",\"authors\":\"Fabian Hollstein, Marcel Prokopczuk\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3924777\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We confront prominent asset pricing models with the classical out-of-sample cross-sectional test of Fama and MacBeth (1973). For all models, we uncover three main findings: (i) the intercept coefficients are economically large and highly statistically significant; (ii) the cross-sectional factor risk premium estimates are far below the average factor excess returns; and (iii) they are generally not statistically significant. Thus, our findings show that the models do not only fail the equilibrium condition of the time-series test, but are also inconsistent with the weaker no-arbitrage condition. Overall, all new factor models cannot accurately explain the cross-section of stock returns.\",\"PeriodicalId\":306152,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Risk Management eJournal\",\"volume\":\"46 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-09-16\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Risk Management eJournal\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3924777\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Risk Management eJournal","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3924777","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
We confront prominent asset pricing models with the classical out-of-sample cross-sectional test of Fama and MacBeth (1973). For all models, we uncover three main findings: (i) the intercept coefficients are economically large and highly statistically significant; (ii) the cross-sectional factor risk premium estimates are far below the average factor excess returns; and (iii) they are generally not statistically significant. Thus, our findings show that the models do not only fail the equilibrium condition of the time-series test, but are also inconsistent with the weaker no-arbitrage condition. Overall, all new factor models cannot accurately explain the cross-section of stock returns.