基于广义学习系统的电动汽车充电负荷时序预测

Wang Sike, Liansong Yu, Pang Bo, Xiaohu Zhu, Cao Peng, Shen Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确预测电动汽车充电负荷时间序列是提高充电站安全稳定运行的重要前提。然而,电动汽车充电负荷具有强烈的非线性、高度间歇性和随机性,导致充电负荷时间序列预测精度较低。为此,本文提出了一种基于广义学习系统的电动汽车充电负荷时间序列预测方法。首先,对电动汽车充电负荷的实际数据进行分析和处理。在此基础上,利用广义学习系统建立了充电负荷时间序列预测模型。基于实际数据的仿真实验表明,与反向传播神经网络和长短期记忆等预测模型相比,基于广义学习系统的充电负荷时间序列预测模型具有更好的预测性能和更少的计算时间。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electric Vehicle Charging Load Time-Series Prediction Based on Broad Learning System
Accurate Electric Vehicle (EV) charging load time-series prediction is an important prerequisite for enhancing the safe and stable operation of charging stations. However, the EV charging load is strongly nonlinear, highly intermittent and random, which leads to the low accuracy of charging load time-series prediction. To this end, this paper proposes a broad learning system-based EV charging load time-series prediction method. First, the actual data of charging load of EV are analyzed and processed. Further, a charging load time-series prediction model is established using a broad learning system. Simulation experiments based on actual data indicate that the proposed charging load time-series prediction model based on the broad learning system has better prediction performance and also has less computing time compared to prediction models such as back propagation neural network and long-short term memory.
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