气候变化导致的潜在水库不足评估,Kesem Kebena大坝,埃塞俄比亚

Melese Chanie Shumie
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摘要

洪水是水在地表的过度泛滥,难以管理。埃塞俄比亚阿法尔地区过去几十年发生的洪水,导致了人类的死亡、基础设施的破坏、大型水利设施和下游财产的毁灭。气候变化、全球变暖、森林砍伐和荒漠化是造成该地区洪水发生的主要原因。然而,气候变化是洪水灾害增加的首要原因。为了与此一致,水工结构的设计是基于先前记录的河流流量数据。在埃塞俄比亚,建造了许多土坝。大坝的蓄水能力是由上游流域的评价洪水决定的,但当极端气候导致流域洪水增加时,已建构筑物无法承载并将被拆除。由于气候变化而从集水区上升的额外水必须在加入水库之前被移除。本研究评估了气候变化对Kesem Kebena大坝潜在水库不足的影响。本研究根据科学的标准综合了不同的方法,选择了合适的措施。根据研究成果,汇水区产生的多余水量可以通过引水泄洪道(紧急溢洪道)来控制。研究确定了100年回复期降水过剩月(8月)库区的超量入库水量。其星等为85.76m3/s。应急溢洪道是在进入水库之前分流这些多余水的最佳手段。对其水力设计进行了探讨。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of Potential Reservoir Deficiency Due to Climate Change, Kesem Kebena Dam, Ethiopia
Abstract Flood is an excess inundation of water on a surface and difficult to manage. The flood occurred in previous decades of Afar region of Ethiopia, consequently, leads to the death of human beings, destruction of infrastructures, an annihilation of massive hydraulic structures, and downstream properties. The main responsible factors for the flood incidences of the region are climate change, global warming, deforestation, and desertification. Climate change, however, is the foremost reason of increasing flood hazard. To coincide with this, hydraulic structures are designed based on the previously recorded flow data of a river. In Ethiopia, numerous earthen dams are constructed. The water storage capacity of dams is determined by the appraised flood of the upstream catchment: however, when the catchment flood increases due to climate extremes, the constructed structures cannot carry and going to demolish. The extra water that rises due to climate change from the catchment has to be removed before joins to the reservoir. This study has evaluated the potential reservoir deficiency of Kesem Kebena dam due to climate change. The study has comprehended different methods based on scientific criteria and selects the appropriate measure. As per the research output, the excess water that will arise from the catchment and add to the reservoir can be controlled by diversion floodways (Emergency spillways). The study has determined the amount of excess flood join to the reservoir for the excess rainfall incident month (August) for 100 years return period. Its magnitude is 85.76m3/s. The emergency spillway is the best means to divert such unwanted water before joining to the reservoir. Its hydraulic design is discussed in the study.
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