可能性风险评估

NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society Pub Date : 2008-05-19 DOI:10.1109/NAFIPS.2008.4531222

T. Whalen, C. Brønn

{"title":"可能性风险评估","authors":"T. Whalen, C. Brønn","doi":"10.1109/NAFIPS.2008.4531222","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Some events are so rare that it is impossible to construct any evidence-based probability distribution for them. Judgmental assessment of probability is also suspect because extremely small probabilities are not readily distinguished from one another subjectively. We define a class of extremely rare events called \"adventitious events\" and illustrate the use of possibility theory to analyze risks associated with them.","PeriodicalId":430770,"journal":{"name":"NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society","volume":"53 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2008-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Possibilistic risk assessment\",\"authors\":\"T. Whalen, C. Brønn\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/NAFIPS.2008.4531222\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Some events are so rare that it is impossible to construct any evidence-based probability distribution for them. Judgmental assessment of probability is also suspect because extremely small probabilities are not readily distinguished from one another subjectively. We define a class of extremely rare events called \\\"adventitious events\\\" and illustrate the use of possibility theory to analyze risks associated with them.\",\"PeriodicalId\":430770,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society\",\"volume\":\"53 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2008-05-19\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/NAFIPS.2008.4531222\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/NAFIPS.2008.4531222","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 4

摘要

有些事件是如此罕见，以至于不可能为它们构建任何基于证据的概率分布。对概率的判断性评估也值得怀疑，因为在主观上很难区分极小的概率。我们定义了一类极其罕见的事件，称为“非定事件”，并说明了使用可能性理论来分析与之相关的风险。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

查看原文本刊更多论文

Possibilistic risk assessment

Some events are so rare that it is impossible to construct any evidence-based probability distribution for them. Judgmental assessment of probability is also suspect because extremely small probabilities are not readily distinguished from one another subjectively. We define a class of extremely rare events called "adventitious events" and illustrate the use of possibility theory to analyze risks associated with them.

求助全文

通过发布文献求助，成功后即可免费获取论文全文。去求助

来源期刊

NAFIPS 2008 - 2008 Annual Meeting of the North American Fuzzy Information Processing Society

自引率

0.00%

发文量