风力发电投资策略的发展

C. Kongnam, S. Nuchprayoon
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引用次数: 12

摘要

本文在发电能力和投资资源是灵活的前提下,研究了风电的投资策略。将投资问题表述为一个混合整数规划问题,约束条件为区间,目标为生产利润的净现值。最优解以每个风力机模型的数量和尺寸表示。提出了筛选排序法,从多个最优方案中找出最具吸引力的投资方案。然后进行敏感性分析以评估投资参数的影响。利用实际风速数据和泰国南部沿海风电项目的简化模型对数值模拟进行了验证。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Development of Investment Strategies for Wind Power Generation
This paper develops investment strategies for wind power generation under the assumption that generation capacity and investment resources are flexible. The investment problem is formulated as a mixed-integer programming problem with the constraints specified as intervals and the net present value of generation profits as the objective. The optimum solutions are expressed in terms of number and size of each wind turbine model. The screening & ranking method is proposed to identify the most attractive investment plan among multiple optimum solutions. Sensitivity analysis is then performed to assess the impact of investment parameters. Numerical simulations have been tested with actual wind speed data and a simplified model of wind power project in the southern coast of Thailand.
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