基于潜变量的在职家长陪读模式研究

S. Mohajerani, A. Mamdoohi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

旅行是我们生活中不可分割的一部分,如今旅行的目的改变了,旅行的次数也增加了。大多数的旅行都是由汽车完成的,这对我们的环境造成了很多有害的影响(如污染,全球变暖,缺乏能源),他们也给经济和社会带来了负面影响。为了实现可持续发展,交通管理者应该对公共交通和主动出行方式进行长期投资和制定政策。有鉴于此,本研究除了社会经济变量和旅行属性外,还探讨了态度、感知行为控制、主观规范和意向等潜在心理变量对在职家长陪同小学旅行的影响。为此,我们对德黑兰学校学生家长填写的4000份问卷数据进行了分析和建模。通过对有序Logit模型和多项Logit模型的估计和校准,结果表明,感知到学校的距离、儿童年龄、开车上学的频率、上学时间的相似性、工作和教育旅行的路线、意愿、感知行为控制、家庭中是否有合适的人陪伴孩子、两种模式在上班、教育出行的出发时间、路线出行相似的情况下,家长对家庭中另一人的适宜性评价和选择公共出行方式均有统计学意义。因此,我们可以通过开展以下项目来增加动力:解释环境和交通问题的重要性,鼓励学生和家长做监督步行巴士(SWB),在家长办公室和学生学校附近建造住宅定居点,为步行和骑自行车创造安全路线,提高社区的安全性;这些程序可以增加学生使用主动模式的可能性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Modeling Escorting School Trips by Employed Parents Based on Latent Variables
Trips are an inseparable aspect of our lives, and nowadays their purposes have been changed and their number has increased. Most of the trips are done by cars, which make lots of harmful influences on our environment (such as pollution, global warming, and lack of energy sources), and they also bring about negative impacts on the economy and society. In order to have sustainable development, transportation managers should make long-term investments and policies on public transportation and active travel modes. In view of that, in addition to socio-economic variables and attributes of trips, we investigate the effect of latent psychological variables such as attitude, perceived behavioral control, subjective norms, and intention on escorting elementary school trips by employed parents. For this purpose, we analyzed and modeled the data of 4000 questionnaires filled by the parents of students of Tehran’s schools. Results obtained from estimating and calibrating the ordered and multinomial Logit models, show that the variables of perceived distance to school, children age, frequency of using the car to school, similarity between start time, and route travel in work and educational trips, intention, perceived behavioral control, existence of a proper person in the family for escorting children, suitable evaluation of one other person in family by parent and choosing public mode in case of similarity between start time, and route travel in work and educational trips in both models were statistically significant. Therefore, we can increase motivation by carrying out programs such as: explaining the importance of environmental and traffic issues, encouraging students and parents to do Supervisional Walking Bus (SWB), building residential settlements near parents’ office and students school, creating safe routes for walking and cycling and increasing the safety of neighborhoods; these programs can increase the probability of using active modes by students.
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