发展中国家贸易制约因素的估计

Jean-Jacques Hallaert, Ricardo H. Cavazos-Cepeda, Gimin Kang
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引用次数: 31

摘要

本报告确定并量化了发展中国家对贸易扩大的约束性限制的严重程度,以及将使贸易改革对贸易和经济增长的影响最大化的补充政策的重要性。由于发展中国家与贸易有关的需求众多,因此需要进行这种量化,以确定最具约束力的限制因素,以指导改革和贸易援助干预措施的顺序。贸易扩张的限制主要是针对具体国家的。然而,具有重要特征的国家可能面临类似的约束性限制。对尽可能多的伙伴国家进行计量经济分析,以产生一个“不受限制的样本”。这可以作为评估特别国家分组的基准。计量经济学工作依赖于实验来确定和排名(基于其相对严重程度)对每个国家分组最具约束力的约束。关于阿塞拜疆和乌干达的两个个案研究说明了计量经济学工作的机制和由于数据限制而未列入的几个变量的重要性
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating the Constraints to Trade of Developing Countries
The severity of binding constraints to trade expansion in developing countries and the importance of the complementary policies that will maximize the impact of trade reforms on trade and economic growth are identified and quantified in this report. As trade-related needs of developing countries are numerous, such quantification is needed to identify the most binding constraints to guide the sequencing of reforms and aid-for-trade interventions. The constraints to trade expansion are largely country specific. However, countries which share important characteristics may face similar binding constraints. An econometric analysis is undertaken for as many partner countries as possible to produce an �\unrestricted sample. that can be used as a benchmark against which special country groupings can be assessed. The econometric work relies on experimentation to identify and rank (based on their relative severity) the most binding constraints for each country grouping. Two case studies, on Azerbaijan and Uganda, illustrate the mechanisms of the econometric work and the importance of several variables not captured because of data limitations
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