韩国股票市场可用性与锚定性有效性实证研究

S. Son, J. Lee, Se-Jun Lee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:本文的目的是比较和审查解释韩国股市大规模价格冲击后股价变化的行为经济学模型,并寻找合适的模型。在本文所回顾的理论中,锚定启发式理论对股价大规模波动后的股价具有较高的解释力。设计/方法/方法-本文对股价冲击进行了事件研究,其中构成KOSPI200指数的个股每天的波动幅度超过10%。为了将启发式理论的抽象预测以一种可变的形式具体化,本文以股票价格指数的每日变化作为可用性启发式的参考点,以52周的最高和最低价格作为锚定启发式的参考点。研究启示或独创性-作为实证分析的结果,股票价格反转并不总是出现在每日指数的变化。另一方面,股价在52周最高价和52周最低价附近持续出现波动。在控制公司特定变量和事件特定变量的多元回归分析中,支持锚定启发式的结果更加明显。这些结果表明,利用韩国股市的大规模价格变化建立投资策略是可能的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Empirical Study on the Validity of the Availability Huristics and Anchoring Huristics in the Korean Stock Market
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to compare and review behavioral economics models that explain stock price changes after large-scale price shocks in the Korean stock market and to find a suitable model. In this paper, among the theories reviewed, it was confirmed that the anchoring heuristics theory has high explanatory power for stock prices after large-scale stock price fluctuations. Design/methodology/approach - This paper conducts an event study on stock price shocks in which the individual stocks that make up the KOSPI200 index show more than 10% fluctuation on a daily basis. In order to materialize the abstract predictions of heuristics theories in a varifiable form, this paper uses the daily stock price index change as a reference point for availability heuristics, and uses the 52-week highest and lowest price as reference point for anchoring heuristics. Research implications or Originality - As a result of the empirical analysis, the stock price reversals did not consistently appear for changes in the daily index. On the other hand, the stock price drifts consistently appeared around the 52-week highest and the 52-week lowest price. And in the multiple regression analysis that controlled for company-specific and event-specific variables, the results that supported the anchoring heuristics were more evident. These results suggest that it is possible to establish an investment strategy using large-scale price change in Korean stock market.
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