基于量子免疫优化BP神经网络算法的电价预测方法

Xuan Zhang, Qingxiang Hao, Wenjie Qu, Xingquan Ji, Yumin Zhang, Bo Xu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

提出了一种基于量子免疫优化反向传播(BP)神经网络算法的电价预测方法。利用BP神经网络算法可以构建电价预测模型,但BP神经网络在电价预测中容易陷入局部最优。为此,基于量子免疫优化算法,提出了一种改进的BP神经网络价格预测方法。以新西兰一家现实电力公司为例对本文提出的算法进行了验证,数值结果表明,与传统BP神经网络相比,本文提出的量子免疫优化BP算法在电价预测方面具有更高的精度。因此,这是一种更好、更实用的价格预测方法,具有较好的实际预测效果。结果表明,该优化算法不仅大大提高了电价预测的准确性,而且使预测过程更快、更高效,可以有效地减少误差,缩短预测周期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Electricity Price Forecasting Method Based on Quantum Immune Optimization BP Neural Network Algorithm
This paper presents electricity price forecasting method based on quantum immune optimization Back Propagation (BP) neural network algorithm. The prediction model of electric price can be constructed with BP neural network algorithm, however, the BP neural network is readily trapped in local optimal in the electricity price prediction. With this regard, based on the quantum immune optimization algorithm, a modified BP neural network price prediction method is proposed. A realistic New Zealand power company is used to test the proposed algorithm, the numerical results show that, compared the traditional BP neural network, the proposed quantum immune optimization BP algorithm has much higher accuracy in the prediction of electricity price. Thus, it is a better and more practical pricing prediction method and has better actual prediction effect. And it also demonstrates that this optimization algorithm not only greatly improves the accuracy of electricity price prediction, but also makes the prediction process faster and more efficient, which can effectively reduce errors and shorten the prediction period.
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