次贷危机中中美股市波动传导机制检验

Yiting Fu, Xiongwei Wang
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摘要

本文研究了2007年次贷危机前后中美股市的动态相关性。通过将时差问题纳入实证研究,运用EDCC-GARCH模型分析了两个市场之间可能存在的传导机制。我们的结论是,EDCC-GARCH模型很好地描述了中美股市之间的关系。从2005 - 2010年的动态相关系数可以看出,随着中国金融市场的不断发展,中美股市之间的关系变得更加稳定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Tests for the Transmission Mechanism of Stock Market Volatility between China and U.S during Subprime Crisis
The paper studies the dynamic correlation between China's and the U.S stock markets prior and posterior to the Sub prime Crisis, 2007. By incorporating the problem of time-difference into our empirical study, we analyze the possibly existing transmission mechanism between these two markets in virtue of EDCC-GARCH model. We concludes that EDCC-GARCH model well-depicts the relationships between China's and American stock market. From the dynamic correlation coefficients from 2005 to 2010, we can see that the relationship between China's and the U.S. stock markets becomes more stable as the development of China's financial market continues.
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