与gdp挂钩的债券和主权违约

D. Barr, Oliver Bush, A. Pienkowski
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引用次数: 42

摘要

本文利用一个内源性主权违约的校准模型,探讨了gdp挂钩债券如何提高政府的最大可持续债务水平,并大幅降低违约发生率。该模型探讨了发行与GDP挂钩的债券的成本(特别是GDP风险溢价)和收益。它的结论是,通过将债务与GDP挂钩,可以实现显著的福利收益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
GDP-Linked Bonds and Sovereign Default
Using a calibrated model of endogenous sovereign default, we explore how GDP-linked bonds can raise the maximum sustainable debt level of a government, and substantially reduce the incidence of default. The model explores both the costs (in particular the GDP risk premium) and the benefits of issuing GDP-linked bonds. It concludes that significant welfare gains can be achieved by indexing debt to GDP.
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