一种用于概率负荷建模/分析的瞬时增长流聚类算法

S. Massucco, G. Mosaico, M. Saviozzi, F. Silvestro, A. Fidigatti, E. Ragaini
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引用次数: 6

摘要

随着先进计量基础设施(AMI)的大规模采用,电力系统现在具有丰富的信息,可以用于更好的监测、管理和控制。另一方面,面对海量数据(大数据)带来的挑战,必须采用特定的技术。传统的负载建模方法不使用AMI生成的数据流,而是提供静态负载配置文件。本文描述了一种自适应流算法,通过马尔可夫链对任意负载进行建模。该算法能够以最小的计算量对负载曲线进行聚类,从而实现实时负载建模。实验验证了该方法的性能,并与两种参考方法(动态聚类和k-Means)在精度和计算时间方面进行了比较。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An Instantaneous Growing Stream Clustering Algorithm for Probabilistic Load Modeling/Profiling
With the large-scale adoption of Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI), power systems are now characterized by a wealth of information that can be exploited for better monitoring, management, and control. On the other hand, specific techniques have to be employed to face the challenges brought by this large amount of data (Big Data). Traditional load modeling methodologies do not use the streams of data generated by AMI, providing static load profiles. In this work, an adaptive streaming algorithm is described to model any load through a Markov Chain. The proposed algorithm is able to cluster the load curves with a minimal computational effort, allowing realtime load modeling. The presented procedure’s performance is evaluated by experimental validation and compared with two reference methodologies (Dynamical Clustering and k-Means) in terms of accuracy and computational time.
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