智利的选举投票率。年龄、月经和队列的近似值

Matías Bargsted, Nicolás M. Somma, Benjamín Muñoz-Rojas
{"title":"智利的选举投票率。年龄、月经和队列的近似值","authors":"Matías Bargsted, Nicolás M. Somma, Benjamín Muñoz-Rojas","doi":"10.4067/S0718-090X2019000100075","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Through an age-period-cohort analysis applied to survey data from 1994 to 2015, we seek to understand the decline in electoral participation that has occurred in Chile during the current democratic era. Our analysis confirms some previous hypotheses, but it also illuminates some new trends. First, we find cohort effects indicating that the generations that voted during the 1988 Plebiscite tend to vote more often than those who became eligible during the democratic era. Second, Chileans’ propensity to vote increases with age, although this effect is much more pronounced among cohorts born after 1970. Finally, we find a strong and negative linear period effect, whereby the propensity to vote among all age groups has declined universally.","PeriodicalId":279932,"journal":{"name":"Revista de ciencia política (Santiago)","volume":"29 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-06-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"4","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Participación electoral en Chile. Una aproximación de edad, período y cohorte\",\"authors\":\"Matías Bargsted, Nicolás M. Somma, Benjamín Muñoz-Rojas\",\"doi\":\"10.4067/S0718-090X2019000100075\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Through an age-period-cohort analysis applied to survey data from 1994 to 2015, we seek to understand the decline in electoral participation that has occurred in Chile during the current democratic era. Our analysis confirms some previous hypotheses, but it also illuminates some new trends. First, we find cohort effects indicating that the generations that voted during the 1988 Plebiscite tend to vote more often than those who became eligible during the democratic era. Second, Chileans’ propensity to vote increases with age, although this effect is much more pronounced among cohorts born after 1970. Finally, we find a strong and negative linear period effect, whereby the propensity to vote among all age groups has declined universally.\",\"PeriodicalId\":279932,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Revista de ciencia política (Santiago)\",\"volume\":\"29 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-06-27\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"4\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Revista de ciencia política (Santiago)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-090X2019000100075\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Revista de ciencia política (Santiago)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.4067/S0718-090X2019000100075","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4

摘要

通过对1994年至2015年的调查数据进行年龄期队列分析,我们试图了解智利在当前民主时代选举参与度的下降。我们的分析证实了之前的一些假设,但它也阐明了一些新的趋势。首先,我们发现队列效应表明,在1988年公民投票期间投票的几代人往往比那些在民主时代获得资格的人更经常投票。其次,智利人的投票倾向随着年龄的增长而增加,尽管这种影响在1970年以后出生的人群中更为明显。最后,我们发现了一个强烈的负线性时期效应,即所有年龄组的投票倾向普遍下降。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Participación electoral en Chile. Una aproximación de edad, período y cohorte
Through an age-period-cohort analysis applied to survey data from 1994 to 2015, we seek to understand the decline in electoral participation that has occurred in Chile during the current democratic era. Our analysis confirms some previous hypotheses, but it also illuminates some new trends. First, we find cohort effects indicating that the generations that voted during the 1988 Plebiscite tend to vote more often than those who became eligible during the democratic era. Second, Chileans’ propensity to vote increases with age, although this effect is much more pronounced among cohorts born after 1970. Finally, we find a strong and negative linear period effect, whereby the propensity to vote among all age groups has declined universally.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信