Yueqian Rao, Kai Zhang, Lin Li
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文从实证角度分析了电子商务的发展对中国经济增长的影响。利用1998 - 2005年电子商务交易额和GDP数据,采用计量经济学方法对两个时间序列进行协整、误差修正模型和格兰杰因果检验,得出电子商务交易额促进经济发展,两者之间存在长期均衡和短期动态关系的结论。本文为了解电子商务的发展程度,分析电子商务发展过程中存在的问题,制定相应的电子商务发展战略提供了依据,并提出了一些建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Econometric Analysis of the Relationship between Chinese e-Commerce Transactions and GDP
This paper analyzes the impact of the development of e-commerce on China’s economic growth from an empirical perspective. By using co integration, error correction model and Granger causality test on the two time-series in econometric way with the e-commerce transactions and GDP data from 1998 to 2005, it shows the amount of e-commerce transactions promotes economic development and there are long-term equilibrium and short-term dynamic relationship between them as a conclusion. The paper gives a basis for understanding the extent of e-commerce development, analyzing the problems in the process of development, formulating appropriate e-commerce development strategy and gives some suggestions.
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