Automatic Surgery Duration Prediction Using Artificial Neural Networks

Cost control has become an important issue in hospital management. As a very important part of a hospital, the operating room consumes a great amount of resources. If operating rooms are put to their optimal use, a large amount could be saved. However, high uncertainty in the duration of operation procedures results in the difficulty in scheduling the use of operating rooms. The operating room use duration is related to the duration of surgery, and this is difficult to predict. In this study, we used artificial neural network (ANN) to construct a surgery duration prediction model. Experimental results show that the prediction accuracy of the prediction model is acceptable.