{"title":"地震和海啸死亡的时间序列特征研究","authors":"Haoyun Wu, Xinyan Wu, Yao Lu, Hongwei Li","doi":"10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"1 山西省地震局,太原 030021,中国 7153701@qq.com 2 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京 100081,中国 wuxy1977@sina.com Abstract—In this paper, 18 earthquake cases from 1996 to 2017 and four earthquakes cases that caused tsunami and killed more than 2,000 people since 2000 were selected in China. Statistics on the death statistics of earthquakes in Sina.com were collected. The logistic function was used to fit the data of earthquake cases. The results showed that: (1) The number of earthquake deaths was reported. There is a good correlation between the curves presented at the time and the more deaths there are, the longer it takes to determine the final number of deaths. (2) The shorter the time when the number of earthquake deaths approaches the total number, the stronger the rescue ability.(3) The data show that in the face of catastrophic earthquakes with more than 10,000 deaths, especially the huge earthquakes that caused the tsunami, relying solely on the local rescue capacity is obviously insufficient.","PeriodicalId":142201,"journal":{"name":"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)","volume":"86 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2019-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Study on the Time Series Features of Earthquake and Tsunami Deaths\",\"authors\":\"Haoyun Wu, Xinyan Wu, Yao Lu, Hongwei Li\",\"doi\":\"10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"1 山西省地震局,太原 030021,中国 7153701@qq.com 2 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京 100081,中国 wuxy1977@sina.com Abstract—In this paper, 18 earthquake cases from 1996 to 2017 and four earthquakes cases that caused tsunami and killed more than 2,000 people since 2000 were selected in China. Statistics on the death statistics of earthquakes in Sina.com were collected. The logistic function was used to fit the data of earthquake cases. The results showed that: (1) The number of earthquake deaths was reported. There is a good correlation between the curves presented at the time and the more deaths there are, the longer it takes to determine the final number of deaths. (2) The shorter the time when the number of earthquake deaths approaches the total number, the stronger the rescue ability.(3) The data show that in the face of catastrophic earthquakes with more than 10,000 deaths, especially the huge earthquakes that caused the tsunami, relying solely on the local rescue capacity is obviously insufficient.\",\"PeriodicalId\":142201,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)\",\"volume\":\"86 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2019-11-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Proceedings of the Fourth Symposium on Disaster Risk Analysis and Management in Chinese Littoral Regions (DRAMCLR 2019)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2991/dramclr-19.2019.8","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Study on the Time Series Features of Earthquake and Tsunami Deaths
1 山西省地震局,太原 030021,中国 7153701@qq.com 2 中国地震局地球物理研究所,北京 100081,中国 wuxy1977@sina.com Abstract—In this paper, 18 earthquake cases from 1996 to 2017 and four earthquakes cases that caused tsunami and killed more than 2,000 people since 2000 were selected in China. Statistics on the death statistics of earthquakes in Sina.com were collected. The logistic function was used to fit the data of earthquake cases. The results showed that: (1) The number of earthquake deaths was reported. There is a good correlation between the curves presented at the time and the more deaths there are, the longer it takes to determine the final number of deaths. (2) The shorter the time when the number of earthquake deaths approaches the total number, the stronger the rescue ability.(3) The data show that in the face of catastrophic earthquakes with more than 10,000 deaths, especially the huge earthquakes that caused the tsunami, relying solely on the local rescue capacity is obviously insufficient.