基于聚类与分类的犯罪分析与预测

Rasoul Kiani, Siamak Mahdavi, Amin Keshavarzi
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引用次数: 65

摘要

当犯罪在社会中频繁发生时,会对组织和制度产生一定的影响。因此,有必要研究不同犯罪发生的原因、因素和关系,并找到最合适的方法来控制和避免更多的犯罪。本文的主要目的是根据不同年份的发生频率对集群犯罪进行分类。数据挖掘被广泛应用于分析、调查和发现不同犯罪的发生模式。我们将基于聚类和分类等数据挖掘技术的理论模型应用于1990年至2011年英格兰和威尔士警方记录的真实犯罪数据集。为了提高模型的质量并去除低值特征,我们对特征分配了权重。利用RapidMiner工具,采用遗传算法对离群点检测算子参数进行优化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis and Prediction of Crimes by Clustering and Classification
Crimes will somehow influence organizations and institutions when occurred frequently in a society. Thus, it seems necessary to study reasons, factors and relations between occurrence of different crimes and finding the most appropriate ways to control and avoid more crimes. The main objective of this paper is to classify clustered crimes based on occurrence frequency during different years. Data mining is used extensively in terms of analysis, investigation and discovery of patterns for occurrence of different crimes. We applied a theoretical model based on data mining techniques such as clustering and classification to real crime dataset recorded by police in England and Wales within 1990 to 2011. We assigned weights to the features in order to improve the quality of the model and remove low value of them. The Genetic Algorithm (GA) is used for optimizing of Outlier Detection operator parameters using RapidMiner tool.
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