基于DPSIR模型的张掖水安全评价

Liping Liu, Deshan Tang, Tian-Shen Chen
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引用次数: 7

摘要

水资源是西北地区最重要的战略资源。水资源条件差是造成生态环境脆弱、经济落后、贫困人口集中的重要原因。深入研究水安全问题是推进西部大开发战略实施的有效途径。本文综述了国内外水安全研究的前沿进展,对水安全概念进行了界定,构建了DPSIR模型,强调了人类活动强度高导致的水安全问题的严重性,进而探讨了水安全的驱动力、压力、影响、现状和响应因素。以张掖地区为案例研究区,采用层次分析法和熵权法确定权重因子。最后,运用灰色理论方法对张掖2004-2010年的水安全进行了评价。研究结果表明:2004 - 2010年张掖市水安全水平稳步提高,并取得较大进步。不利的自然因素仍然是造成水安全问题的主要原因。此外,人类活动强度高、经济不发达、管理体制消极等因素进一步导致社会资源稀缺,加剧了水安全问题。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Assessment on the water security of Zhangye based on the DPSIR model
Water resources are the most important strategic resource in Northwest. Poor water condition is an important reason for fragile ecological environment, economic backwardness, and concentrated poverty population. Deep study of water security is an effective way to promote the protection of the western development strategy. This paper reviews the forefront progress of both international and domestic, conceptualizes water security, constructs DPSIR model, and emphasizes the seriousness of the water security issues caused by the high intensity of human activity, then explores the driving, pressure, influence, status and respond factors of water security. Zhangye region is taken as a case study area, and the AHP and entropy weight method is employed to determine the weight factors. Finally, the gray theory method is used to evaluate water security in 2004-2010 in Zhangye. The conclusions are that: the water security of Zhangye City has increased steadily and it has taken a greater progress since 2004 to 2010. Adverse natural factors are still the main reason for water security issues. In addition, the facts of high intensity of human activities, less developed economic status and the negative system of management further conduce social resources scarcity, which aggravate the water safety problems.
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