近期货币政策对日本宏观经济的影响

Y. Kurihara
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文基于日本的预期数据和实时数据对近期货币政策的效果进行了实证分析。此外,不同时期之间的预期数据将对经济产生影响,并被考虑在内。自2000年代以来,日本经历了严重的经济衰退,并实施了低利率或零利率政策,因此这种特殊情况可能会对经济产生影响。实证结果表明,过去的GDP预测误差数据对日本宏观经济有显著的影响,但在一个季度以上的较长时间内对经济没有影响。此外,预测数据对经济并不重要。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Recent monetary policy effects on Japanese macroeconomy
This paper empirically analyzes the effects of recent monetary policy based on expected and real-time data for Japan. Also, expected data between different time periods would have impacts on the economy and are taken into account. Since the 2000s, Japan has experienced a serious recession and low or zero interest rates policy has been conducted, so such a special situation might have influence on the economy. The empirical results show that past forecast error data of GDP plays a significant role on macro economy in Japan, however, impacts on the economy are not found during a longer period, over a quarter. Furthermore, forecast data is not crucial to the economy.
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