资本外逃与经济发展:来自尼日利亚的证据

S. O. Akinwale
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引用次数: 4

摘要

本研究考察了尼日利亚资本外逃与经济发展之间的关系。零假设是资本外逃与尼日利亚的经济发展没有显著关系。该研究对1986年至2018年期间尼日利亚中央银行和世界银行获得的数据使用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法,以研究尼日利亚资本外逃与经济发展之间的关系。本研究检验了数据的单位根问题和协整性质。采用增广Dickey-Fuller (ADF)检验和Phillips-Perron (PP)检验对单位根问题进行了检验。ARDL的研究结果表明,资本外逃、实际汇率和经济发展之间存在反比关系。这意味着,在研究期间,这些变量对降低经济发展起了重要作用。然而,尼日利亚的经济发展与成人识字率之间存在着正相关关系。由此可见,在提供高质量和负担得起的教育方面所作的改进往往会对尼日利亚的经济发展产生积极影响。该研究的结论是,尼日利亚的经济发展受到资本外逃、实际汇率和成人识字率的强烈影响。因此,该研究报告建议,应实行和监测政府遏制资本外逃的政策,以促进尼日利亚的经济发展。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Capital Flight and Economic Development: Evidence from Nigeria
This study examined the nexus between capital flight and economic development in Nigeria. The null hypothesis was that capital flight has no significant relationship with economic development in Nigeria. The study used the auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) method on data obtained from the Central Bank of Nigeria and the World Bank, for the period 1986–2018, to examine the relationship between capital flight and economic development in Nigeria. The study examined the unit root problem and cointegrating properties of the data. The unit root problem was tested for by using the augmented Dickey–Fuller (ADF) and Phillips–Perron (PP) tests. Findings from ARDL showed an inverse relationship exists between capital flight, real exchange rate, and economic development. This implies that the variables contributed significantly to reduce economic development within the study period. However, a positive relationship existed between economic development and adult literacy rate in Nigeria. By implication, improvements made in providing quality and affordable education tend to have a positive impact on economic development in Nigeria. The study concluded that economic development is strongly influenced by capital flight, real exchange, and adult literacy rates in Nigeria. The study, therefore, recommends that government policies to curb capital flight should be introduced and monitored so as to lead to economic development in Nigeria.
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