应对欧元区失衡:解决成员国之间分歧和差异的政策选择

Eckhard Hein, Daniel Detzer
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引用次数: 14

摘要

在本文中,我们概述了解决欧元区差异通胀、竞争力差异和相关经常账户失衡问题的替代政策建议。这些替代性政策建议的主要目的是在整个欧元区产生可持续的高需求和产出增长,提供高水平的非通胀就业,以及在欧元区内部和欧元区在世界经济中的作用方面防止“出口导向型重商主义”和“债务导向型消费繁荣”类型的发展。我们提供了一个基本框架,以便系统地解决相关问题,利用Thirlwall的(1979;2002年)“国际收支限制增长率”(BPCGR)模型。基于此框架,我们概述了替代经济政策所需的立场,然后讨论了整个欧元区替代货币、工资/收入和财政政策的影响,以及对欧元区外围国家结构和区域政策的影响,特别是。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Coping with Imbalances in the Euro Area: Policy Alternatives Addressing Divergences and Disparities between Member Countries
In this paper we outline alternative policy recommendations addressing the problems of differential inflation, divergence in competitiveness and associated current account imbalances within the Euro area. The major purpose of these alternative policy proposals is to generate sustainably high demand and output growth in the Euro area as a whole, providing high levels of non-inflationary employment, as well as preventing ‘export-led mercantilist’ and ‘debt-led consumption boom’ types of development, both within the Euro area and with respect to the role of the Euro area in the world economy. We provide a basic framework in order to systematically address the related issues making use of Thirlwall’s (1979; 2002) model of a ‘balance-of-payments-constrained growth rate’ (BPCGR). Based on this framework, we outline the required stance for alternative economic policies and then we discuss the implications for alternative monetary, wage/incomes and fiscal policies in the Euro area as a whole, as well as the consequences for structural and regional policies in the Euro area periphery, in particular.
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