分析和衡量1990-2020年期间货币政策对阿尔及利亚经济增长的影响

Hanene Doudane
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在通过一组自变量分析和衡量1990-2020年期间货币政策对经济增长率的影响。我们处理了研究的理论框架,分析了最重要的发展和货币工具,以及基于格兰杰因果关系模型的计量经济学研究,使用VAR模型估计模型的系数,并进行了适当的统计检验。该研究的结论是,在研究期间,阿尔及利亚国内生产总值(GDP)的增长与汇率变化之间只有一个方向上的因果关系,而货币供应与经济增长之间没有因果关系,这是由于货币政策对阿尔及利亚经济的影响有限,以及阿尔及利亚经济的性质。这仍然与研究期间国际市场燃料价格改善的程度有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analyzing and measuring the impact of monetary policy on the economic growth of the Algerian economy during the period (1990-2020)
This research aims to analyze and measure monetary policy on the rate of economic growth through a set of independent variables during the period (1990-2020). We have dealt with the theoretical framework of the study and an analysis of the most important developments and monetary tools, as well as the econometric study based on Granger's causality model and estimating the model's coefficients using the VAR model and conducting the appropriate statistical tests. The study concluded that there is a causal relationship in only one direction between the growth of the gross domestic product (GDP) and the changes in exchange rates in Algeria during the study period, while there is no causal relationship from the money supply to economic growth, due to the limited impact of monetary policy on the Algerian economy, As well as the nature of the Algerian economy, which remains linked to the extent of improvement in fuel prices in international markets during the study period. 
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