以冠状病毒感染为例的“皇尾”动力学

M. Guzev, E. Nikitina
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文以滨海边疆区2020-2022年新冠肺炎发病率研究为例,考虑发病率过程的周期性,讨论了秩分布的动态规律,并对“皇尾”的性质进行了解释。结果表明,所选择的建模方法符合大流行过程发展研究的总体趋势,所得到的特征参数接近经典估计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The dynamics of “imperial tails” on the example of coronavirus infection
In the paper the dynamics of rank distributions is discussed on the example of a study of the incidence of COVID-19 in Primorsky Krai in 2020-2022, taking into account the periodicity of the morbidity process, and an explanation of the nature of “imperial tails” is given. It is shown that the chosen modeling method is within the framework of the general trend of research into the development of the pandemic process, and the found characteristic parameters are close to classical estimates.
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