存款保险是银行体系稳定的先兆?肯尼亚银行体系的实证研究

Gabriel Kamau Kung’u, A. O. Kengere
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尽管存款保险越来越受到政策制定者的青睐,但它仍然是一场没有定论的辩论,不同的作者对其对银行稳定性的影响提出了不同的观点。本文旨在建立存款保险与银行系统稳定性之间的联系,并对肯尼亚银行系统进行实证审查。首先,我们认为存款保险往往通过向存款人提供保证而带来银行业的稳定,从而减少银行挤兑的可能性。然而,这种互动只有在没有银行竞争的其他监管框架可用的情况下才有可能。研究结果不支持我们之前的论点,但指出存款保险覆盖率与稳定性之间的联系在短期内存在,并倾向于有利于小银行。然而,结果支持了我们的第二个论点,即在银行业竞争中,随着银行竞争增加了银行对风险活动的偏好,无论存款保险计划如何,覆盖-稳定性关系被稀释了。我们建议政策制定者不应过多关注提高存款保险覆盖范围上限,而应关注其他监管框架,因为覆盖范围对稳定性的影响是短期的。本研究以银行稳定性为因变量,采用多元回归分析。所有数据均来自肯尼亚中央银行网站、银行监管和银行部门报告。数据涵盖2005年至2020年,均包括16年的捐赠期。本研究使用了从银行监管和银行部门报告中获得的二手数据。在数据分析中使用了描述性统计和推断性统计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deposit Insurance a Precursor of Bank System Stability? An Empirical Evidence of Kenya Banking System
: Despite deposit insurance increasingly gaining favour from policy makers, it remains an inconclusive debate with different authors taking different arguments on its effect on bank stability. This paper sets out to establish the link between deposit insurance and bank system stability, with an empirical review on the Kenya banking system. At first, we argued that deposit insurance tends to bring stability in the banking sector by providing assurance to the depositors, thereby reducing the possibilities of bank run. However, such an interaction is only possible where other regulatory framework is available without banking competition. The results do not support our earlier arguments but point that deposit insurance coverage-stability nexus exists in the short run and tends to favour smaller banks. The results however support our second argument that with banking competition, the coverage-stability nexus is diluted as the banks competition increases bank appetite for risky activities regardless of the deposit insurance scheme. We recommend that policy makers should not focus a lot on increasing deposit insurance coverage limit, but rather on other supervisory framework, since the effect of the coverage on stability is felt in the short run. This study used multiple regression analysis with bank stability as the dependent variable. All the data were obtained from the Central Bank of Kenya website, Bank Supervision and Bank Sectors reports. The data covered the period from 2005 to 2020, both inclusive giving period of sixteen years. The study used secondary data as obtained from the bank supervision and bank sector reports. Both descriptive and inferential statistics were used in data analysis.
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