分布式光伏容量预测的实用方法研究

2022 3rd International Conference on Advanced Electrical and Energy Systems (AEES) Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI:10.1109/AEES56284.2022.10079352

Ruanming Huang, Xiaohui Wang, Fei Fei, Haoen Li, Yumeng Jiang, Yutian Zhang

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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着分布式光伏的快速发展，对分布式光伏的装机规模和发电量进行预测，对于研究光伏对电网的影响具有重要意义。本文提出了一种考虑分布式光伏投资回报率变化影响的分布式光伏装机容量预测方法。以上海市为例，对其分布式光伏装机潜力进行了估算，并对未来几年的装机规模进行了预测。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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The Study on a Practical Method for Distributed Photovoltaic Capacity Forecasting

With the rapid development of distributed photovoltaic (PV), the prediction of the installed scale and generation power of distributed PV plays an important role in studying the impact of PV on the power grid. The paper proposes a method for forecasting the installed capacity of distributed PV which takes into account the impact of changes in the return on investment (ROI) of the distributed PV. Case Study takes Shanghai as an example and estimates its distributed PV installation potential and forecasts the installation scale in the next few years.

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2022 3rd International Conference on Advanced Electrical and Energy Systems (AEES)

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