转型国家劳动力迁移与人民政治经济观

Daichi Yamada, Masato Hiwatari
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摘要

在本研究中,我们关注劳动力迁移对欧洲、高加索和中亚转型国家人民经济和政治观点的影响。在30年的转型中,人们对转型的看法呈现出从支持到反对的巨大变化。劳动力迁移可以在形成他们的观点方面发挥作用。它可以通过提供与外国自由和民主制度有关的知识和规范(一种称为社会汇款的机制)来促进对过渡的支持。然而,转型期国家也接受移民,与移民有关的经济压力会减少对移民的支持。通过对27个转型国家2006年、2010年和2016年三年的调查数据,并以汇款流量数据作为劳动力迁移强度的代表,我们实证研究了劳务移民的发送和接收如何影响对市场经济和民主的偏好。我们的主要发现是:(i)派遣劳工移民增加了人们对市场经济的偏好,但(ii)接收移民降低了人们对市场经济和民主的偏好。前一种效应在劳工移民前往西欧国家的国家中观察到,这表明了社会汇款的作用。相反,移民增加了人们对政府干预的需求,对民主持怀疑态度。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Labor Migration and People’s Political and Economic Views in Transition Countries
In this study, we focus on the effects of labor migration on the economic and political views of people in European, Caucasian, and Central Asian transition countries. During 30 years of transition, people’s views towards transition have demonstrated substantial variations from supports to oppositions. Labor migration can play roles in shaping their views. It can promote supports for transition by providing knowledges and norms related to liberal and democratic systems from foreign countries, a mechanism known as social remittances. However, transition countries also receive immigrants and the economic pressure associated with immigrants can reduce the supports. With survey data covering 27 transition countries and three years, 2006, 2010, and 2016, and remittance flow data as proxies for labor migration intensities, we empirically examine how sending and receiving labor migrants affect the preferences for a market economy and democracy. Our main findings are (i) that sending labor emigrants increases people’s preferences for a market economy but (ii) that receiving immigrants reduces those for a market economy and democracy. The former effect is observed in countries from which labor emigrants head to Western European countries, suggesting the roles of social remittances. Conversely, with immigrants, people increase their demand for governmental interventions and skeptic views towards democracy.
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