{"title":"使用未观察成分模型对尼尼微省2004-2016年期间居民电力部门的预期需求进行了研究","authors":"M. H. Abd Alla","doi":"10.33899/iqjoss.2018.159254","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":": This paper investigates studied the reality of the total monthly demand of Nineveh Province electricity for the period of (96) months between (2004-2012). The statistical analyses of the studied data showed that there is seasonal effective, general trend and random pattern .The Unobserved Components Model (UCM) was used in the series analysis and forecasting for four years’ prediction till 2016 was adopted. data","PeriodicalId":351789,"journal":{"name":"IRAQI JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SCIENCES","volume":"51 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-12-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Expected demand for Electricity Residential sector in Nineveh governorate for the period (2004-2016) using Unobserved Components Model\",\"authors\":\"M. H. Abd Alla\",\"doi\":\"10.33899/iqjoss.2018.159254\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\": This paper investigates studied the reality of the total monthly demand of Nineveh Province electricity for the period of (96) months between (2004-2012). The statistical analyses of the studied data showed that there is seasonal effective, general trend and random pattern .The Unobserved Components Model (UCM) was used in the series analysis and forecasting for four years’ prediction till 2016 was adopted. data\",\"PeriodicalId\":351789,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"IRAQI JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SCIENCES\",\"volume\":\"51 1\",\"pages\":\"0\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-12-28\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"IRAQI JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SCIENCES\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.33899/iqjoss.2018.159254\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"IRAQI JOURNAL OF STATISTICAL SCIENCES","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.33899/iqjoss.2018.159254","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Expected demand for Electricity Residential sector in Nineveh governorate for the period (2004-2016) using Unobserved Components Model
: This paper investigates studied the reality of the total monthly demand of Nineveh Province electricity for the period of (96) months between (2004-2012). The statistical analyses of the studied data showed that there is seasonal effective, general trend and random pattern .The Unobserved Components Model (UCM) was used in the series analysis and forecasting for four years’ prediction till 2016 was adopted. data
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