昔日的阴影

Nathan W. Toronto
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摘要

中东正在走向地区战争吗?在第一次世界大战结束一百年后,许多与欧洲之前的战争相同的因素似乎在今天的该地区存在:增加的武器销售,社会和政治动荡,以及不断增加的征兵。本文考察了今天的中东与1914年的欧洲之间的异同。它还分析了关键变量,以制定可能导致该地区和平或战争的情景。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SHADES OF YESTERYEAR
Is the Middle East on a path to regional war? One hundred years after the conclusion of World War I, many of the same factors the preceded wars in Europe seem to be in place in the region today: increased arms sales, social and political unrest, and increasing conscription. This paper examines the similarities and differences between the Middle East today and the Europe of 1914. It also analyzes key variables to develop scenarios that could lead to peace or war in the region.
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