通货膨胀和退休年金

Z. Bodie
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引用次数: 1

摘要

唯一一种既能预防长寿风险又能对冲通胀的退休合同是与消费者价格指数(CPI)挂钩的终身年金。它与社会保障福利的计算单位相同。我们称之为“真实年金”,尽管它也被称为通货膨胀指数单保费即时年金(SPIA)。在计算一个人退休前收入的替代比率时,我们可以将社会保障福利和实际年金产生的收入相加,得出一个有意义的数字。与CPI无关的年金,我们称之为“名义年金”。它的计量单位与社会保障不同,因此在计算替代比率时将两者相加是错误的。尽管有这些显而易见的事实,但真正的年金在实践中基本上被忽视了,它们只占年金市场的一小部分。出售的绝大多数收入年金都是以名义美元固定的。从理性经济决策的角度来看,这是一个谜。我们称之为“名义年金之谜”。本文的目的是探讨这个难题背后的原因,并提出解决它的方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Inflation and Retirement Annuities
The only retirement contract that both insures against longevity risk and hedges against inflation is a life annuity that is linked to the consumer price index (CPI). It is denominated in the same units of account as Social Security benefits. We call it a “real annuity,” although it is also referred to as an inflation-indexed single-premium immediate annuity (SPIA). In computing a person’s replacement ratio of preretirement income, we can add Social Security benefits and the income produced by a real annuity to arrive at a meaningful number. An annuity that is not linked to the CPI we call a “nominal annuity.” It is measured in units that are different from Social Security, so it would be a mistake to add the two in computing a replacement ratio. Despite those obvious facts, real annuities are largely ignored in practice and they comprise a tiny portion of the annuities market. The vast majority of income annuities sold are fixed in nominal dollars. From the perspective of rational economic decision-making, this is a puzzle. Let’s call it the “nominal annuity puzzle.” The purpose of this article is to explore the reasons behind this puzzle and to suggest ways to solve it.
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