盒子里的思考:绿色新政、产业动员和人力资本再利用战略的蓝图

Timothy Nerenz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

美国的“绿色新政”(GND)是一项有争议的公共政策倡议,被倡导者描述为“千禧一代的第二次世界大战”,旨在禁止碳基能源和核能,以避免预测中的气候变化末日。到目前为止,GND的支持者未能提供一个实质性的建议,以动员必要的工业来赢得他们对碳的战争,而本文试图通过发展一个粗略的估计来填补这一空白,即需要52万亿美元的新工业产出来取代燃烧动力的基础设施。从第二次世界大战的工业动员作为紧急人力资源的模板,本文建议将目前的高等教育部门解构65%,并将其目前被挪用的人力资本重新用于工业动员,这为20年内实现GND目标提供了唯一明显可用的必要规模和智力敏度的群体。本文旨在提供一个理性的基础,在此基础上,倡导者和支持者都可以参与辩论,包括GND可行性及其对千禧一代工作期间美国经济再工业化和部门重新定位的更广泛影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Thinking Inside the Box: A Blueprint for Green New Deal Industrial Mobilization and Strategy for Human Capital Repurposing
The American “Green New Deal” (GND) is a controversial public policy initiative described by advocates as the “millennial generation’s World War II” that seeks to ban carbon-based and nuclear energy in order to avoid a predicted Climate Change apocalypse. Proponents of GND have thusfar failed to offer a substantive proposal for the industrial mobilization necessary to win their war on carbon, and this paper attempts to fill that void with development of a rough-order estimate of $52 trillion in new industrial output required to replace combustion-powered infrastructure. Drawing from World War II industrial mobilization as its template for urgent human resourcing, the paper proposes that deconstructing the current post-secondary education sector by 65% and repurposing its currently misappropriated human capital to industrial mobilization provide the only apparent available cohort of requisite size and intellectual acuity to achieve GND goal realization in 20 years. The paper is intended to provide a rational basis upon which advocates and proponents alike can engage in a debate that includes GND feasibility and its broader implications for re-industrialization and sector re-orientation of the US economy during the working lifetimes of millennials.
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