考虑现货市场、辅助市场和期权市场储能的发电企业投资组合策略

Chang Liu, Xingying Chen, H. Hua, Kun Yu, Yu Jiang, Mingjia Yin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

电价的波动给电力市场带来了巨大的风险和挑战。可用于风险管理和解决电力生产者参与电力市场交易时面临的风险的金融衍生品。本文的目的是在三个电力市场,即现货市场、辅助市场和期权市场,提出电力生产商的投资组合策略,以获得利润和对冲风险。鉴于储能在储电中的作用,本文考虑储能是为了使发电商能够以较低的价格购买储能,然后在未来以较高的价格出售电力,从而获得利润。首先,本文分别建立了三个市场的盈利模型。然后,基于均方差投资组合理论,给出了电力企业参与这三个市场的投资组合策略。最后,数值模拟是基于2022年澳大利亚电力市场的数据。研究发现,与只参与一个市场的情况相比,采用该模型同时参与现货市场、辅助市场和期权市场的发电企业利润提高了24.4%,风险降低了36.4%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Portfolio Strategy of Power Producer Considering Energy Storage in Spot Market, Ancillary Market and Option Market
The volatility of electricity price brings huge risks and challenge to the electricity market. Financial derivatives that can be used for risk management and to solve the risks faced by power producers when participating in electricity market transactions. The purpose of this paper is to propose a portfolio strategy of the power producer to earn profits and hedge risks in three electricity markets, namely, the spot market, the ancillary market and the option market. In view of the role of energy storage in storing electricity, the energy storage is considered in this paper to enable power producer to purchase energy storage at a lower price, and then sell electricity at a higher price in the future to earn profits. First of all, this paper establishes the profit models of three markets, respectively. Then, based on the mean-variance portfolio theory, a portfolio strategy for power producer to participate in the three markets are formed. Finally, the numerical simulation is based on the data of the Australian electricity market in 2022. It has been found that the profit obtained by power producer participating in three markets (the spot market, the ancillary market and the option market) using the proposed model is 24.4% higher, while the risk is 36.4% lower comparing with the case that power producer only participates in one market.
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