越野调查中的非同步实地考察:在体育活动中的应用

S. Poupakis, Francesco Salustri
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引用次数: 0

摘要

多国调查的目的往往是进行跨国比较。一个共同的质量标准是在所有参与国家的共同实地调查期间进行这些调查。但是,每个国家在实地调查期间取得目标样本的比率差别很大。因此,在最终样本中,面试月份的分布往往有很大差异。这可能导致对跨国差异的估计有偏差,特别是当感兴趣的变量随时间呈现非恒定趋势时。本文旨在证明,当这样的问题导致有偏见的估计在体育活动的国家差异。我们使用欧洲社会调查第7轮,在跨国调查中展示了这种异步实地调查的含义。我们的分析样本集中在6个国家,数据收集于2014年9月至2015年1月。我们提出了用回归分析模拟体育活动的结果。我们比较了未调整和调整的回归系数,考虑了实地工作月份。此外,我们提出了一组不同的后估计预测,从这种汇集的跨国分析。我们发现,身体活动在不同的采访月份有所不同,9月份的活动量最高,此后逐渐下降,在1月份达到最低水平。因此,与冬季观测次数较多的国家相比,秋季观测次数较多的国家具有向上偏倚。我们的研究结果表明,当访谈月份被忽略时,国家之间的比较是如何受到影响的。这在使用非加权和加权回归技术时都很普遍。使用跨国调查汇总样本的研究是司空见惯的。虽然一个共同的实地调查期间在国家比较中存在严重的偏差,但当感兴趣的结果有很大的季节变化时,这种偏差往往仍然存在。我们的研究表明,在分析中考虑面试月份是缓解这一问题的一种简单方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Asynchronous Fieldwork in Cross-Country Surveys: An Application to Physical Activity
Multi-country surveys often aim at cross-country comparisons. A common quality standard is conducting these surveys within a common fieldwork period, across all participating countries. However, the rate the target sample is achieved within that fieldwork period in each country varies substantially. Thus, the distribution of the interview month often varies substantially in the final sample. This may lead to biased estimates of cross-country differences, especially if the variable of interest exhibit a non-constant trend over time. This paper aims at demonstrating when such a problem cause biased estimates of country differences in physical activity. We demonstrate the implications of such an asynchronous fieldwork in cross-country surveys, using the European Social Survey Round 7. Our analytical sample focuses on 6 countries with data collected between September 2014 and January 2015. We present results for modelling physical activity using regression analysis. We compare unadjusted and adjusted regression coefficients accounting for fieldwork month. Moreover, we present a set of different postestimation predictions obtained from such pooled cross-country analyses. We found that physical activity varies across interview month, with the highest activity reported in September, decreasing thereafter, reaching the lowest level in January. Thus, countries with more observations during autumn were upward-biased, compared to countries with more observations during winter. Our results demonstrate how comparisons between countries are affected when interview month is omitted. This is prevalent using both unweighted and weighted regression techniques. Studies using pooled samples of cross-country surveys are commonplace. While a common fieldwork period accounts for severe biases in country comparison, often the bias remains when the outcome of interest has substantial seasonal variation. Our study suggests how accounting for interview month in analyses is an easy way to mitigate this problem.
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