高中疾病传播的(离散)数学模型

Carlos Alberto de Assis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

流行病学疾病是我们社会的一大关切。因此,更好地了解传播如何发生、发病率最高的地方、疾病的生命周期、愈合过程和其他相关因素,对于控制其传播至关重要。因此,本文将提出一个简单的(离散的)数学模型,被流行病学家称为SIS(易感-感染易感)模型,它可以很容易地在高中工作,以激发学生的好奇心。因此,本文将使用流感病毒作为一种常见疾病,通过该模型展示这种疾病的爆发如何在儿童群体中表现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Um modelo matemático (discreto) de propagação de uma doença no Ensino Médio
Epidemiological diseases are a major concern in our society. Thus, better understanding how the spread occurs, the places with the highest incidence, the disease’s lifetime, healing processes, and other related factors, are essential to control its spread. Therefore, this article will propose a simple (discrete) mathematical model, known by epidemiologists as the SIS (Susceptible-InfectedSusceptible) model, which can easily be worked on in high school in order to stimulate students’ curiosity. Hence, using the flu virus as a common disease, this article will show how the outbreak of this disease behaves in a population of children through this model.
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