通过竞争性实验进行创新

Peter A. Wagner
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文研究了竞争性实验的最优竞赛设计。委托人从多个实验努力不可观察的代理人那里寻求贡献。为了诱导努力,竞赛必须向代理人提供在竞赛期间增加的信息租金。在最优竞争中,委托人通过设定无效的紧迫期限来限制代理人的租金。我表明,当实验的突破是私下观察到的,并且委托人和代理人都可以有策略地披露这些信息时,竞争仍然是最优的。当招聘成本高昂时,只有在创新价值足够高、学习速度不会太快、成功的先验概率有足够的差异的情况下,大型竞争才是可取的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Innovation through Competitive Experimentation
This paper studies optimal contest design for competitive experimentation. The principal seeks contributions from multiple agents whose experimentation efforts are unobservable. To induce effort, the contest must provide agents with an information rent that increases in the duration of the contest. In the optimal contest, the principal limits the agents' rent by setting inefficiently tight deadlines. I show that the contest remains optimal when breakthroughs in experimentation are privately observed, and both the principal and the agents can disclose this information strategically. When hiring is costly, then a large contest is desirable only if the value of the innovation is sufficiently high, learning is not too fast, and there is sufficient variance in the prior probability of success.
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