用蒙特卡罗模拟和二项式格估计回溯价格

Fauziah Sudding, Yusuf Kalla
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引用次数: 0

摘要

回溯期权是路径依赖期权,其收益取决于合约期间标的资产的最大值和最小值。由于收益是根据期权有效期内的资产价格计算的,目前还没有分析公式来评估期权的价格。然而,近似可以用数值方法得到。蒙特卡罗模拟和二项式格是本文将要应用的两种数值方法。使用蒙特卡罗的数值解决方案是通过生成资产的未来价格来获得的,以后将用于估计期权和二项模型也做类似的动作,唯一不同的是所有可能的路径基础上的资产是基于假设下一时期的股票价格将进入两个可能的值,要么上升或下降。价格回看期权已计算固定行权回看看涨期权和看跌期权;和浮动走线回望看跌,将这两种数值分析方法的近似结果与解析的Black-School结果进行了比较,表明二项式格法比蒙特卡罗法给出了更好的数值解。然而,Binomial中的值并不完全接近Black-Scholes,它在浮动执行回望看跌期权中表现不佳。另一方面,蒙特卡洛法并不适合为这个选项定价。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Estimating Lookback Price Using Monte Carlo Simulation and Binomial Lattice
Lookback options are path-dependent option, whose payoffs depend on the maximum and minimum value of the underlying assets throughout the duration of the contract. Since the payoffs are calculated based on the asset price during the lifetime of the option, there are no analytic formulas yet to evaluate the price of the option. However, the approximation can be obtained using numerial methods. Monte carlo simulation and binomial lattice are two of those numerical methods that will be applied in this paper. Numerical solution using monte carlo is obtained by generating the future price of assets that will be later used in estimating the option and binomial model also does similar action, the only different is all possible paths of the underlying asset are based on the assumption that the stock price for next period will move into two possible values, either up or down. The price lookback option have been computed both for fixed strike lookback call and put; and floating strike lookback call and put, the approximation using the both numerical analysis are compared with analytic Black-School results, and shown that Binomial lattice gives better numerical solution than Monte Carlo. However, the values in Binomial are not entirely close to Black-Scholes, it shows poor performance in Floating Strike Lookback Put Option. Monte Carlo, on the other hand, does not work very well for pricing this option.
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