经济绩效与政府规模

António Afonso, J. Jalles
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引用次数: 72

摘要

我们构建了一个具有明确政府角色的增长模型,其中更多的政府资源降低了个人消费和人均产出的最优水平。在实证分析中,我们对1970-2008年间的108个国家的政府规模和制度质量使用了不同的代理指标。我们的研究结果与提出的增长模型一致,表明政府规模对增长具有负向影响。同样,制度质量对实际增长有积极影响,而政府消费始终不利于增长。此外,政府规模对经济增长的负面影响越大,制度质量越低;政府规模越小,制度质量对经济增长的正向影响越大。政府规模变量对增长的负面影响在斯堪的纳维亚法律起源中更为缓和,在较低水平的公民自由和政治权利中更为强烈。最后,对欧盟而言,更好的整体财政和支出规则能促进增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Economic Performance and Government Size
We construct a growth model with an explicit government role, where more government resources reduce the optimal level of private consumption and of output per worker. In the empirical analysis, for a panel of 108 countries from 1970-2008, we use different proxies for government size and institutional quality. Our results, consistent with the presented growth model, show a negative effect of the size of government on growth. Similarly, institutional quality has a positive impact on real growth, and government consumption is consistently detrimental to growth. Moreover, the negative effect of government size on growth is stronger the lower institutional quality, and the positive effect of institutional quality on growth increases with smaller governments. The negative effect on growth of the government size variables is more mitigated for Scandinavian legal origins, and stronger at lower levels of civil liberties and political rights. Finally, for the EU, better overall fiscal and expenditure rules improve growth.
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