基于相似性和基于模型的剩余使用寿命预测融合预测框架

Xiaochuan Li, D. Mba, Tianran Lin
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文提出了一种混合预测框架,该框架将基于模型的预测方法(即粒子滤波)与基于相似性的预测方法相结合。提出的框架由预测起点的自动确定、传感器融合和导致准确剩余使用寿命(RUL)估计的预测步骤组成。该方法首先应用典型变量分析(CVA)方法确定预测开始时间并构建预后健康指标(HIs)。然后将基于相似度的方法与基于模型的粒子滤波(PF)算法结合使用,从降低RUL的不确定性和提高预测精度两方面提高预测性能。该框架能够自动构建适合于RUL预测的HIs,与传统的基于模型的PF方法相比,具有更高的预测精度和更小的不确定性边界。该方法已成功应用于飞机涡扇发动机RUL预测中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Similarity-based and Model-based Fusion Prognostics Framework for Remaining Useful Life Prediction
In this work, a hybrid prognostic framework which interfaces a model-based prognostic method, namely particle filter, with a similarity-based prognostic method is proposed. The proposed framework consists of automatic determination of predication start point, sensor fusion, and prognostics steps that lead to accurate remaining useful life (RUL) estimations. This approach first applies the canonical variate analysis (CVA) approach for determining the prediction start time and constructing the prognostic health indicators (HIs). The similarity-based method is then employed together with the model-based particle filter (PF) algorithm to improve the predictive performance in terms of reducing the uncertainty of RUL and improving the prediction accuracy. The proposed framework can automatically construct HIs that are suitable for RUL prediction and offer higher prediction accuracy and lower uncertainty boundaries than traditional model-based PF methods. Our proposed approach is successfully applied on aircraft turbofan engines RUL prediction.
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