气候变化导致埃塞俄比亚食品价格上涨?

Berhe Gebregewergs Hagos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用收集的84个月的时间序列数据处理了Tigrai地区的温度变化与食品价格之间的关系,从而应用单变量计量工具和有限分布滞后模型来定义变量和研究结果。结果,经计量经济回归分析,气温每上升10℃,大麦、玉米、高粱、小麦、白苔草等粮食的平均价格在历年里分别上涨了80%、186%、近275%、60%、170%等。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Change Driven Food Inflation in Ethiopia?
The research dealt with the relationships between temperature variability and price of food stuffs in Tigrai using 84 months collected time series data thereby applied a Univariate econometric tool and finite Distributed Lag Model in defining the variables and outcome of the study. As a result, the econometric regression analysis witnessed that a 1oC temperature rise contributed the average price of food stuffs such as barley price rose up by 80 percent, maize 186 percent, sorghum close to 275 percent, wheat 60 percent, and 170 percent in white Teff over the years, ceteris paribus.
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