叠置LSTM递归神经网络:一种短期风速预测的深度学习方法

C. Sowmya, Anu G. Kumar, Sachin Kumar
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引用次数: 2

摘要

可再生能源现在已经成为未来的关键。可再生能源可以从许多方面加以利用,其中之一就是风能。风能不断变化,因此成为间歇性或突发性的能源。因此,风力预测在风电场选址、未来风速预测、未来风电预测以确定电价、免罚投标过程、提高电力系统可靠性等各个领域都有广泛的应用,成为一个广泛的研究领域。预测风速将支持这些应用获得更好的结果。然而,在任何给定时间预测风能仍然是一个重大挑战。预测未来风速的技术有很多,但考虑到准确性、训练模式和测试能力,应用机器学习被认为是最好的解决方案。机器学习预测风速的方法有很多种,其中基于长短期记忆(LSTM)的预测是当前时间序列预测的方法。为了获得更好的精度,本文对LSTM进行了进一步的分层。本文探索了一种新的基于堆叠LSTM的架构,该架构可以实现更好的风力预测模型,该模型可以用于最大功率点跟踪(MPPT),以找到最优的风力输出。与现有的各种算法进行比较,发现三层堆叠LSTM具有更好的性能指标。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Stacked LSTM Recurrent Neural Network: A Deep Learning Approach for Short Term Wind Speed Forecasting
Renewable energy has now become a key to the future. Renewable energy can be harnessed from many sources, one such source is wind. Wind energy is constantly prone to changes hence making it an intermittent or abrupt source of energy. Thus wind forecasting finds multiple applications in various fields such as selecting the sites to construct the wind farm, forecasting the future wind speed, future wind power prediction for deciding the electricity tariffs, for penalty-free bidding process, and for enhancing the power system reliability thus making it an extensive area of research. Forecasting the wind speed will support these applications in having superior outcomes. However, the prediction of wind energy at any given time is still a major challenge. There are many techniques for predicting future wind speed, but considering the accuracy, training pattern, and testing ability, applying Machine Learning is considered as the finest solution. There are various approaches in Machine Learning for forecasting the wind speed, among which Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based forecasting is the contemporary method for time series forecasting. In this paper, LSTM is further layered to obtain better accuracy. This paper explores a novel Stacked LSTM based architectures, which can accomplish a better wind forecasting model that can be administered for Maximum Power Point Tracking (MPPT) for finding the optimal wind power output. Comparing with various existing algorithms, a three-layered stacked LSTM is found to have better performance indices.
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