巴尔干国家:迎头赶上并融入欧洲金融体系

F. Bonetto, S. Redzepagić, A. Tykhonenko
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引用次数: 10

摘要

本文旨在展示金融变量对选定的欧盟和巴尔干国家之间趋同过程的影响。的确,由于历史遗留问题和过渡过程发生时的环境,在实现结构变化方面出现了拖延之后,巴尔干国家在1990年代末开始对其金融制度进行必要的改革,采取了旨在增长和提高金融部门效率的具体措施。因此,利用1999-2007年21个国家的面板数据,我们通过贝叶斯迭代估计方法检验了收敛性假设;引入两个金融变量来控制稳态的差异。我们的实证结果表明,国内信贷和市值在追赶过程中的重要性显著提高,趋同速度显著提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Balkan Countries: Catching Up and Their Integration in the European Financial System
This paper aims to show the impact of financial variables on the process of convergence between selected European Union and Balkan countries. Indeed, after a delay in the realization of structural changes – result of historical legacy and circumstances in which the transition process took place – Balkan countries started at the end of 1990s essential reforms in their financial systems with the adoption of concrete measures directed towards the growth and increase of the financial sector efficiency. So, using panel data over the period 1999-2007 for a sample of 21 countries, we test the convergence’s hypothesis by the Bayesian iterative estimation method; two financial variables are introduced to control the differences in steady state. Our empirical results sustain the importance of the domestic credit and the market capitalization in the catching-up process by a significant increase in the speed of convergence.
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