基于AquaCrop-OS模型的作物状态实时预测的校准与强迫方法集成

Tianxiang Zhang, Jinya Su, Cunjia Liu, Wen‐Hua Chen
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文采用最新的基于MATLAB的作物模型AquaCrop-OS,提出了一个实时预测冠层状态的框架。首先利用历史观测值对作物敏感参数进行贝叶斯估计。其次,将模型状态替换为逐次更新遥感观测数据。将最终的预测状态与实测结果进行对比,两者的均方根误差分别为39.4155 g/𝒎(校准法)和19.3679 g/𝒎(强迫法),表明该系统能够及时预测作物状态,提高了校准策略的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Integration of Calibration and Forcing Methods for Predicting Timely Crop States by Using AquaCrop-OS Model
This paper presents a framework for predicting canopy states in real time by adopting a recent MATLAB based crop model: AquaCrop-OS. The historical observations are firstly used to estimate the crop sensitive parameters in Bayesian approach. Secondly, the model states will be replaced by updating remotely sensed observations in a sequential way. The final predicted states will be in comparison with the groundtruth and the RMSE of these two are 39.4155 g/ 𝒎𝟐 (calibration method) and 19.3679 g/𝒎𝟐(calibration with forcing method) concluding that the system is capable of predicting the crop status timely and improve the performance of calibration strategy.
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