1918 - 1919年的流感大流行扼杀了美国的人寿保险业吗?

Gustavo S. Cortés, Gertjan Verdickt
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摘要

不。我们记录了1918 - 1919年流感大流行期间美国人寿保险部门的两个经验事实。首先,我们发现1918年后美国保险公司的盈利能力没有显著差异。其次,疫情爆发后陷入困境的保险公司较少。采用综合控制方法,我们认为新寿险保单需求的增加缓解了保险公司的财务困难。虽然从公共卫生的角度来看,这场大流行是灾难性的,但对保险业来说却是“塞翁失马焉知非福”。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Did the 1918–19 Influenza Pandemic kill the U.S. Life Insurance Industry?
No. We document two empirical facts for the U.S. life insurance sector during the 1918–19 Influenza pandemic. First, we find no significant differences among U.S. insurers’ profitability after 1918. Second, there were fewer insurers in distress after the pandemic outbreak. Using synthetic control methods, we argue that the demand increase for new life insurance policies mitigated financial difficulties for insurers. While catastrophic from a public health perspective, the pandemic was a “blessing in disguise” for the insurance industry.
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