3欧洲和欧亚大陆

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摘要

纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫和乌克兰东部的武装冲突是目前欧亚大陆上仅有的两个活跃的武装冲突。俄罗斯在这两个战场上都扮演着重要角色。在亚美尼亚-阿塞拜疆争端中,它的立场与西方几乎相同,维持着类似的和平和解决冲突议程的口头承诺。然而,在乌克兰,俄罗斯的目标与西方截然相反,并积极破坏稳定。在这两种情况下,莫斯科都有兴趣保持对前苏联领土的影响力,并在与西方力量竞争的地缘战略相关领域存在。因此,在纳戈尔诺-卡拉巴赫,俄罗斯寻求在与亚美尼亚建立的军事和经济合作与武器交易之间取得平衡,并计划扩大与阿塞拜疆的贸易关系。在乌克兰,俄罗斯的目标是通过支持顿巴斯地区的分裂主义情绪和武装组织,以及宣称对刻赤海峡(位于2014年吞并的克里米亚半岛附近)的控制,来限制乌克兰向西方倾斜。2018年,双方冲突继续僵持,双方的军事立场没有发生实质性变化,欧洲和欧亚大陆的分界线也没有发生变化
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
3 Europe and Eurasia
The armed conflicts in Nagorno-Karabakh and eastern Ukraine are the only two currently active on the Eurasian continent. Russia has a prominent role in both theatres. In the Armenian–Azerbaijani dispute, its positions are virtually identical to the West’s, maintaining a rhetorical commitment to similar peacemaking and conflict-resolution agendas. In Ukraine, however, Russia’s goals are diametrically opposed to the West’s and actively destabilising. In both situations, Moscow is interested in retaining influence over former Soviet territories and presence in areas of geostrategic relevance in the power competition with the West. As a result, in Nagorno-Karabakh, Russia seeks to balance established military and economic cooperation in Armenia with arms deals and plans to expand trade ties in Azerbaijan. In Ukraine, Russia aims to limit a drift towards the West by supporting separatist sentiments and armed groups in the Donbas region and by asserting its control over the Kerch Strait (located off the Crimean peninsula it annexed in 2014). Stalemate continued in both conflicts in 2018, with no substantial changes to the parties’ military positions, and no movements in the lines dividing Europe and Eurasia
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